Posts Tagged ‘economy’

How To Trade Stocks Correctly During Repeatable Patterns

This year, the cyclic market trends were a bust. Most just did not pan out.

Then again, this really is not anything new. If you do a 25 year graphic representation on the main indices, you will find out that some years basically do not happen as expected. However what you will also understand is that in the majority of years, they typically do.

What does that represent for us going into 2010?

It means that 2009 was one of those unusual years where seasonality did not work meaning that in 2010, seasonality will in all probability work again.

The first seasonal trend will be upon us in just a couple of weeks, so let’s do a quick review.

The stock market has comparatively consistent and dependable recurring trends. You ought to be familiar with the most well-known cyclic trends, since this information can stop you from being extremely bullish at a cyclic peak or excessively bearish at a seasonal low.

In a nutshell, the common trends support a turn down in early January (possibly profit-taking selling), followed by a mid-January rally. By late March or early April the market often reaches a peak, followed by a changing market in mid-April, maybe related to the April 15 tax deadline. The early summer months are frequently characterized by a midsummer rally, culminating in a market top in late July or early August. September and October are normally down months in the stock market (witness the 1929 Crash and the 1987 October decline), with the lows occurring sometime in late October (a good buying opportunity?). The trend into the end of the year is typically bullish, with the first two weeks in December characterized by a strong market. The Christmas holidays are typically calm, with irregular and thin markets. There are continually exceptions to these actual trends, but the general pattern is remarkably reliable.

Print this article if you have to and stick it near your trading monitor. I think that because 2009 was a unusual bust for a good number of the cyclic trends discussed above, 2010 will be an on year. One of the biggest errors amateur traders make is that they get sniped by more sophisticated fighters who know the seasonality trends.

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Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - February 6, 2010 at 1:39 am

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Killer Economy Strengthens Home And Family

The brutal economy has crushed families all over America. From sea to shining sea there are waves of anguish washing over our families. When the financial tides recede there is something new left behind and worth noticing.

Many of our friends have their children moving back to live in their homes. We found are proof that it is not just twenty-somethings moving home. My wife and I went to live with her parents along with two of our kids. We put our home with a vacation rental company when we realized we not be able to sell it or make the mortgage payments much longer.

My Dad never thought he would share his recreation room with his grandson’s dreadnought acoustic guitar. He thought my fitness equipment needed a cup holder but he was intrigued with my daughter’s kindle reader. My wife is actually baking for the holidays with my Mother. Dad and I are staying up late in his workshop.

The move home and combining family members led to unexpected surprises. My daughter found new support for body marking when she discovered that her grandmother has a tattoo on her hip. My son and his grandfather are playing two person video games nearly every night. My mother and I share early rising and coffee habits.

My parents computer is now being used to organize my Dad’s stamp collection. My mother is working on a family history site and my daughter is actually comparing it to the interest she has in popular forensic shows on television. My Dad bought a used guitar at a garage sale and we have been playing together.

My father-in-law and I have become friends. That is different from being related by marriage. It’s much better. We share a passion for old airplanes and have traveled as far as 300 miles to attend an airshow with the tribe. We spend time together fishing and he finally asked me to show him how some of my exercise gear works.

We were up late the other day trimming the tree for Christmas. We had combined some of our ornaments with my parents. Memories of years gone by were shared. My Mom brought out a box and had us gather around the kitchen table. She drew out my childhood Christmas stocking and a picture of me in my pajamas adorned with jets.

The kids laughed at my goofy hairdo and funny outfit. Then my daughter said, ‘You have grandpa’s smile Dad’. I looked at the picture and at my father. Then I looked at my son’s smile. It was a match. That’s when I knew that when a bad economy steals every penny you have you can still wrap your arms around everything you treasure. Guess what? Those kind of riches will hug you back.

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